Archive - Red Line

State of Open-Source AI, 2025

The Brief: China ↑; US ↓; SLM/LLM ↑; open source ↓; open weight ↑; non-industry developers ↑; industry developers ↓

Dec 4 •

November 2025

The Genesis Mission and the Rise of Sovereign AI

The Brief: Genesis is an inter-generational message of hope for the US public, with national security as the immediate beneficiary.

Nov 27 •

Stop asking bad questions on AI risk

The Brief: Why bad questions drive bad outcomes—and why no country can ‘win’ AI

Nov 21 •

When China Consumes the Future

The Brief: How rising domestic demand for rare earths could erode US competitiveness across the AI stack

Nov 13 •

US compute diplomacy: Middle East AI diffusion via UAE infrastructure

The Brief: Friends of my friends are my enemies

Nov 6 •

Introducing Red Line

A new approach to frontier risk and foresight

Nov 6 •

and

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