About Red Line
We need better frontier risk and foresight. That is why Red Line exists.
Artificial intelligence will define the next century.
The question is how we will decide along the way.
Red Line brings better futures forward
We produce independent, public, and cross-disciplinary analysis of frontier-AI risk.
Founded in 2025 by Arwen Smit, Red Line builds shared understanding of how artificial intelligence reshapes power.
Our flagship publication, The Brief, curates what matters, providing weekly context for the most consequential moments in AI.
Nothing substitutes true understanding.
Sense-making is real-time, complex, and requires work.
Red Line also works directly with governments, companies, and institutions to turn foresight into action through scenario analysis, war-gaming, mechanism teardowns, policy design, and coalition building.
Together with our community, we’re tackling questions that cannot remain unanswered:
What does it mean to win the AI race?
Which fork-in-the-road moments lie ahead, and how will we recognise them?
If today’s institutions become obsolete, what replaces them—and what does that mean for global order?
Follow Red Line and founder Arwen Smit for updates, essays, and ongoing work:
