Geopolitics is upstream of AI risk.
The decisions that shape frontier AI are made in ministries and summits as much as in labs. Red Line tracks that layer.
Red Line’s flagship publication, The Brief, is a rolling research agenda on the upstream geopolitics of AI risk.
Founded in 2025 by Arwen Smit, Red Line produces independent, public analysis of how power shapes the direction of AI. Smit researches open-source AI and great power competition at Cambridge University and has spent a decade at the intersection of emerging technology, policy, and risk.
Red Line also works directly with governments and institutions on scenario analysis, risk triage, and policy strategy.
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The Brief: Archives
Anthropic said "No" to the Department of War: What does this mean for AI safety?
The Situation: This episode marks the securitisation of AI safety.
The Genesis Mission and the Rise of Sovereign AI
The Situation: The White House Launches the Genesis Mission EO
